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Paul Gibson Takes a look at Potential Improvers from the Novice and Handicap Chase Division for 2018/19-- Part Three

17-August-2018
17-August-2018 8:09
in General
by Admin

STEP BACK

Now this Mark Bradstock trained son of Indian River really is all about Staying Power, The ex pointer made his Novice Chase debut in February over 3 miles on heavy ground where he finished a four and a half length 2nd to the previously mentioned Thomas Patrick.

Two weeks later he ran at Sandown in a 3 mile Class three handicap where he finished a creditable third  although he was outpaced, and in my opinion, having reviewwd the race, I think it came too soon after the testing ground at Chepstow, hence his trainer did not run him again until April where he was impressive in thrashing the Dan Skelton trained Sam Red by 16 lengths eased down. To my eye it was impressive and signalled what was to follow.

The Step Up to 28 furlongs in the Bet 365 Gold Cup at Sandown ( it will always be the Whitbread to some of us), was a master stroke, he powered up the hill doing all his best work in the last two furlongs, flying over the last two jumps and won going away in impressive fashion by 13 lengths from the Phillip Hobbs trained,Rock the Kasbah.

I am seriously thinking of taking the 33/1 currently on offer for the Aintree Grand National and it will be interesting to see what route he takes this season. It would not suprise me if we did not see him till late on and over hurdles to protect his chase mark if the yard is serious about a tilt at the National. Once the picture becomes more clear I may well have some of that 33's on offer. 

It looks like with this horse and Thomas Patrick we have serious contenders for the Welsh, English and Irish National's this year and next, I wouldnt have thought Ayr in April would suit either, both will need cut. You do need a different type of horse for Ayr than Chepstow, Aintree and Fairyhouse.

SAINT CLAVADOS

This son of Saint Des Saints trained by Harry Whittington made his chase debut at Newbury in December over 2 miles on heavy ground where he turned over the fav, Remiluc, by 9 Lengths. He returned to Newbury for his next outing over 2 miles, but this time on soft, and thrashed the kerry Lee trained, Tree of Liberty (143) by 10 lengths, eased down.

A step up to grade two company followed at Warwick, again over 2 miles in soft, where he destroyed the Paul Nicholls trained, Diego Du Charmil(157) by 22 lengths, with Dan Skelton's North Hill Harvey (150) a further 17 Lengths in arrears. Impressive is an over used word in form books but is not out of place in this instance.

We can write off the performance in the Arkle, like a lot of horses that week, the ground was just too much for him and I would be shocked if he appears in a race where it comes up heavy. 

Look out for him in 2 mile graded or high end handicaps...Good to soft or Soft (not Heavy).

CROSSHUE BOY

A son of Brian Boru, out of a Supreme Leader mare, smacks of stamina and this fellow is completely unexposed over 3 miles. Trained by Sean Thomas Doyle, his recent Chase campaign was over 16-20f on ground ranging from good to heavy. He won 3 out of his 5 chases.

I know this is a bit of a contrast to whats gone before, but we have all all those gut feelings about a horse, that there is more to come and this fellow is mine.

I cant wait for him to step up to 3 miles, if I  am right, everything, form wise that he has done before will go out the window and we will will see at least 7-10lb of improvement over the winter. A Handicap dark horse for the tracker 

CLONDAW WESTIE

The son of Westerner is another unexposed horse over a staying trip around 3 miles.

He won his Chase debut at Leicester in February over 20f on soft ground by 8 Lengths. He then went to Wincanton where he started 11/4 fav in a 25f Novice Handicap Chase which should have suited him down to the ground and was in the process of running a good race when he unseated his pilot at the 12th.

Back to 17f at Fontwell in March but this time on heavy ground. He won the race,in my opinion, despite the trip, with the bad ground and stiff finish making it more of of a test of stamina.

He won two more handicaps back end at Huntingdon and Fontwell over inadequate trips.

I think his shrewd trainer has the step back up to 3 miles in mind where I think there is at least 7lb of improvement, if not more to be extracted. bear in mind that this lad took on and beat the now Willie Mullins Trained Carter McKay in his last p2p. That horse is now rated 138 over hurdles and this lad is currently rated 122. There has to be improvement in him over 3 mile, remember he is only a 7yo so if its there it should come out this season.

I really hope you have enjoyed reading these 3 articles, I have tried to stick with a crtain quality of horse as I think the form hols up so much better and provided we get the right prices int he right conditions I think we will make a decent profit on these offerings. The beauty of following form in quality races like the ones thses hoses will run in, is that the races will throw up other horses to follow as the form works out.

Thanks again for reading

 

Paul Gibson ( twitter @sonofgib1209) 

 

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