Daily Review

Review of Newton Abbot and Perth Monday 10th September

11-September-2018
11-September-2018 8:12
in General
by Admin

I am going to be brutally honest with here, I made a misjudgement . Having watched the race back several times it’s clear that Lord Topper did not take the step up in grade it was too much for him. He bowled along in front rank for much of the race but the change of tactics from Timeforben, in being held up this time, was always going to be too much for him even if he had stayed in contention.

I made two mistakes on reflection, and I think it’s always good to be reflective and critical of yourself, it’s the way we learn. The first was obviously the step up in class and the second was I did not properly account for a 5yo against older experienced horses.

I’ve no doubt as a 6/7yo handicapper he will be a real force and may well take this step up in grade, but yesterday was too much and I should have realised it yesterday morning. 

The race its self wasn’t a bad one for the grade and track. The change in tactics from the pipe team for the winner was inspirational. Although not a world beater, he won the race comfortably enough that I have rated the race around him and adjusted my rating to reflect Lord Toppers form accordingly.

 3.25 Newton Abbot 3m2f Class 2 National Hunt Handicap Hurdle

With regard to Whataknight, I was spot on there with comments in my preview yesterday, this horse was almost certainly having a blow the cobwebs away run and given the stable is such good form, I can only think there is an early season target for him in the next few weeks and it will be very interesting to see where he turns up. At least I got one thing right!

There is an old racing maxim I once read “always back a horse to do something it had done before” 

I ignored that maxim yesterday and paid the price.

 3.45 Perth 2m4f Class 2 Handicap Chase

Well nothing wrong with judgement here and despite the noises made by winning connections it’s hard to fathom why the winner turned around a sound beating of 8 lengths By Imperial Presence last time out at Worcester.

I have watched the race over and over and I don’t understand why the winner has turned form around, He shouldn’t have, the form book said so and replays watched a studied said so.

The question I always ask myself in defeat, as in the race above, did I miss something? If had had the same circumstances again would I have the same bet on reflection? You bet I would!!

I was absolutely spot on with Charbel, 2m4f was too far for first run. I read the race perfectly and have no regrets.

 

After a bright start in the summer with the winner of the Summer Plate, More Bucks at 9/1 and a few winners after, we had the hiatus which always occurs in August for National Hunt Fans. 

We have now resumed, and Our 2018/19 Campaign began on September 1st. We have had 4 runners, 2 of which have gone very close and arguably could have /should have, won.

Its early days, very early days and Paul and I are still feeling our way into this, the form will build and get stronger. Can’t wait for the season to start properly!!

 

Pete Ingram 

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